Obscure military analysis organization Deagel.com has published shocking forecasts of massive depopulation and economic collapse in developed nations by 2025. Their projections show population and GDP declines of over 70% in the United States. Most would dismiss such extreme predictions as impossible…but are they?
Let‘s objectively analyze the data and scenarios behind Deagel’s dire 2025 predictions. Understanding the vulnerabilities revealed can help us avoid the most catastrophic outcomes through vigilance and emergency preparedness.
Overview of Deagel and Their Shocking 2025 Forecasts
Very little is publicly known about the shadowy organization Deagel.com and their methodology. Their website provides military equipment and geopolitical analysis to national security agencies. Leaked Edward Snowden files confirm Deagel has ties to various intelligence groups like the NSA.
Here are some of Deagel’s shocking economic and population projections for 2025:
United States
- Population: Down 70.2% (to just 100 million from 326 million in 2017)
- GDP: Down a staggering 84.31% (from $19.39 trillion to just $3.03 trillion)
United Kingdom
- Population: Cut by over 43% (to 40 million from 65 million)
- GDP: Down 78.86%
Germany
- Population: Down by 40% (to 48 million from 80 million)
- GDP: Cut by 40%
France
- Population: Down 28.7% (to 43 million from 61 million)
- GDP: Down by 63.22%
Essentially, Deagel sees the populations and economies of major Western nations being severely diminished by 2025.
What could possibly cause such drastic reductions? Here are the primary risk scenarios Deagel’s data suggests…
Scenario 1: Nuclear War
Deagel’s research points to increased probability of a limited nuclear exchange by 2025, stemming from conflicts around China and Taiwan.
As one possibility, direct military confrontation over Taiwan’s sovereignty could quickly spiral out of control. A preemptive attack by China to block foreign intervention could disable key US naval assets and allies like Japan via overwhelming missile strikes.
In response, the NATO allies could retaliate against mainland China with tactical nuclear weapons. Tit-for-tat escalation could ensue.
The exchange need not be civilization-ending; projections range from 58 million deaths up to over 300 million.
Both the US and China have extensive civil defense infrastructure that provides some resilience. However, the impacts of even a limited exchange using a fraction of global arsenals would be catastrophic:
- Cyberattacks could disable infrastructure like electricity, fuel pipelines, logistics chains, and satellite C&C long-term
- Radioactive fallout zones would displace millions
- Extended loss of Crops/livestock from environmental effects
- Economic impact could exceed $10 trillion USD
The destabilization and unrest in the aftermath play directly into the other collapse scenarios Deagel outlines…
Scenario 2: Biological Weapons Targeting Specific Ethnicities
Deagel’s report warns of another chilling and plausible risk – gene-specific bioweapons:
“Bacteria and viruses search not humans but chromosomes. We humans transmit those information via genes. Why would equipment like CRISPR be developed? What meaningful advantage does one country gain by developing weapons able to target specific ethnic groups, based on DNA?”
Emerging genetic editing technology like CRISPR enables custom-crafting viruses to attack genetic characteristics unique to specific racial groups:
[chart]With just a basic understanding of gene editing and Croatia level lab equipment, an apocalyptic virus could be created and unleashed upon the world.
Effects akin to racially-targeted Black Plague outbreaks become viable. Casualty projections from military simulations demonstrate how infectious pandemics could cause massive die-offs before defenses can respond:
US Military Infectious Outbreak Simulations
| Scenario | Length | Population Impact | Death Toll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dark Winter (smallpox) | 13 days | +1,000 domestic infections Riots break out |
1 million+ globally |
| Atlantic Storm (smallpox) | 7 weeks | 3,000 US infections | 200,000 US deaths |
| Clade X Pandemic (Bio-Engineered) | 20 months | 10% US population infected | 900,000 US deaths |
Deagel seems to imply that the Western world has unique genetic weaknesses that could be readily targeted in a covert mass-attack. Per Deagel:
“The ‘Deagel Dilemma‘ is admitting that such genocidal tools are fairly accessible to anyone with a Chemistry lab and Ebay account.”
This should terrify us all into preparing contingencies.
Scenario 3: Societal Collapse from System Shock
In addition to external threats like nuclear war and bioweapons, Deagel indicates that intern fragility itself could bring down modern nations.
Specifically, environmental disasters, supply chain disruptions, power grid failure, and economic crisis could set off a cascading societal collapse.
Urban populations are extremely dependent on complex infrastructure like water systems, food supply chains, fuel and grids for heat, transportation, and basic functioning:
[diagram]As New Orleans in Hurricane Katrina shows, when you remove food, water, and order from cities…chaos and collapse ensues rapidly:
- Day 1: Storm makes landfall, levees fail, population ordered to evacuate
- Day 2: Reports of looting, shelters overflow
- Day 3: Hospital closes; Jail floods with escapees
- Day 4: Gas lines stretch half a mile long
- Day 5: Food shipments disrupted as floods block roads
- Day 6: Most emergency services stop; Diseases spread
- Day 7: Unrest dominates city; Armed gangs raid houses
The above demonstrates how rapid the transition from modern society to total collapse can be when systems we take for granted shutdown.
In terms of near-future catalysts, environmental disasters or cyberattacks on infrastructure as part of a multi-domain war could set collapse in motion. Another possibility is catastrophic economic crisis.
The US dollar currently provides 60% of global central bank reserves, 80%+ of all transactions, and backs assets worth quadrillions internationally. However, debt levels now exceed WWII peaks at 125% of GDP. Faith is all that sustains the system.
If sufficient geopolitical shock eroded global confidence in the dollar as reserve currency, hyperinflationary collapse could force a transition to a multi-polar financial order and cause economic depression.
Any and all of these scenarios carry catastrophic downside risk. But analysis is the first step to solutions…
Evaluating Plausibility of Predictions
How realistic are Deagel’s predictions of mass depopulation and economic ruin by 2025? Could such extreme scenarios actually unfold in prosperous modern nations?
History shows we cannot discount the unexpected — seeming stable systems can rapidly collapse into utter calamity.
Consider these true recent examples:
US Housing Bubble 2008
- Sept 2006: Federal Reserve Chairman says US housing market is “fairly substantially downward”, but no housing bubble
- 2008: Subprime mortgage crisis erupts; Major banks fail; Stock market plunges 50%
Ceaușescu Romania 1989
- 1988: Stable Soviet-aligned communist regime
- 1989: Sudden revolution & coup; Leaders executed days later
COVID-19 Pandemic 2020
- Jan 2020: Mysterious viral pneumonia cases detected in China
- Mar 2020: WHO declares global pandemic; Nations lockdown; Markets crash 30-40%
Afghanistan 2021
- July 2021: US troop withdrawal underway after 20 years of stability
- Aug 2021: Taliban rapidly seizes control; Government routed in days
Sri Lanka Economic Collapse 2022
- 2018: Stable developing economy & tourism hotspot
- 2022: Currency crashes; Hyperinflation & civil unrest; Society in turmoil
These examples of sudden collapse & catastrophe showcase how quickly major events can pivot peaceful modernity into calamity.
While Deagel’s projections still seem dangerously extreme, similar once-improbable disasters now litter recent history. So while the extent envisioned seems severe, the scenarios raised absolutely warrant consideration.
Mitigation Paths: Prevention Beats Cure
Even if not to the extremes Deagel outlines, the vulnerabilities and societal risks they highlight are real and rising. Rather than dismissal, such warnings should spark objectivity, contingency planning, and mitigation efforts — prevention before cure.
Here are smart strategies to mitigate collapse risk based on scientific literature and military analysis:
For individuals
- Get out of crowded cities and develop self-sufficient homesteads
- Stockpile essential goods, equipment, supplies
- Learn practical skills like farming, welding, carpentry
- Consider renewable energy sources and off-grid living
For communities
- Promote local manufacturing and food production
- Have emergency response plans, including shelters and transportation
- Setup resilient communication systems
- Provide disaster preparedness and first aid education
National priorities
- Invest in infrastructure hardening and redundancies
- Secure vital supply chains like food, water, and energy
- Establish contingency protocols across domains
- Develop next-gen technologies for contingency capacity
Globalization and technology progress has compromised self-reliance and resilience – eg China makes 97% of US antibiotics. Reversing this trend is crucial insurance.
Redundancies and contingency infrastructure must also be expanded: alternative transport, microgrids, strategic reserves of grain/fuel, and underground shelter networks.
Finally, renewed attention should focus on environmental and man-made risks: climate disaster plans, stronger international health regulations, arms control treaties, cyber attack rules of engagement, and other trust and transparency measures.
Are Deagel’s specific predictions probable? Time will tell, but risks are clearly rising. The wise approach is honest assessment, contingency planning, mitigation, global cooperation. We must work together toward preventing the more catastrophic scenarios from manifesting.